Case study atlas
Design Climate & environment Governance & MERL

Building inclusive MERL foundations for geothermal development in East Africa

East Africa · Djibouti · Ethiopia · Kenya · Rwanda · Tanzania MFAT · JRG Energy 2026
Building inclusive MERL foundations for geothermal development in East Africa
East Africa · regional

We designed the MERL framework and GESI Action Plan for the New Zealand–Africa Geothermal Facility Phase 2, and mentored two Kenya-based specialists to lead them in the region.

The challenge

Since 2017, the New Zealand–Africa Geothermal Facility (AGF) has shared New Zealand geothermal expertise across the East African Rift. For phase two, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) and the African Union Commission wanted a sharper, partner-led facility, with monitoring, evaluation, research and learning (MERL) and gender equality and social inclusion (GESI) built in from day one. The Phase 1 evaluation had found GESI was not systematically integrated, and a facility responding to partner requests across five countries needs a different kind of MERL system to a fixed-output project.

What we did

  • As part of the delivery team led by JRG Energy, Future Partners led the MERL and GESI work of the inception phase, from January to August 2026. Our outputs formed part of the Inception Report submitted to MFAT in August 2026.

How we worked

We started with two virtual mobilisation sessions with MFAT and the team. Evidence from the April–May 2026 inception mission, which reached more than 100 people from 40 organisations across five countries, shaped the country snapshots and entry points, alongside engagement with the Ethiopian Women in Energy Network and Women in Geothermal. We kept MERL proportionate, using partners’ own data and assessing contribution in a sector shaped by many governments, financiers and developers. The results framework links to the Facility Investment Framework, so gender and inclusion is a criterion for prioritising partner requests. Dr Fiona Kotvojs also worked alongside Margaret Wanjiku and Elizabeth Kago, our in-region GESI and MERL specialists in Kenya, throughout the design. They are now well placed to lead this work with partners day to day, keeping the expertise in the region.

Outputs

01 A revised Theory of Change with three pathways (enabling environment, sustainable sector capability and de-risked investment), a cross-cutting inclusion and social licence lens, and three long-term, three medium-term and four short-term outcomes.
02 A MERL Framework and Results Table, with indicators, monitoring at project, facility outcome and facility process levels, and an annual reflection and adaptive management cycle.
03 Qualitative tools, including a Picture of Success that partners can adapt and Most Significant Change stories.
04 A practical GESI Action Plan, with four programming principles, six priority groups, country snapshots and tailored entry points for each partner.
05 Minimum GESI-in-MERL standards, including sex-, age- and disability-disaggregated data for all capacity building and consultation.

Outcomes

Ready for delivery AGF 2.0 moves into delivery with a Theory of Change, MERL Framework and GESI Action Plan guiding how every activity is selected, designed and reported.
Partners on board Partners in all five countries endorsed the expanded GESI focus, each with specific entry points.
Expertise in the region Two Kenya-based specialists are equipped to lead the work, strengthening local ownership as the Facility scales.

What our clients say

In their words

Future Partners designed MERL and GESI systems that fit how a facility actually works, and invested in the people in the region who will make them work. 
Charlene JoubertDelivery Manager (NZ), JRG Energy

Let's talk

Tell us what you're trying to achieve.

We work alongside you — not on your behalf. Wherever you are in the project cycle, there's a sensible first conversation to be had.